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Rivian Jumps On Earnings Beat After EV Startup Peers Miss And Sink - Investor's Business Daily

Rivian (RIVN) reported a less-than-feared loss for the first quarter late Tuesday and maintained EV production guidance for the full year. RIVN stock popped in extended trading.

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Its U.S. EV startup peers Fisker (FSR) and Nikola (FSR) missed Wall Street's estimates early Tuesday. Lucid (LCID) fell short late Monday.

FSR stock, NKLA stock and  LCID stock all tanked in Tuesday's regular trading session.

A price war in the electric-vehicle market and a bankruptcy warning from a troubled peer set the tone for the week's earnings reports.

Lordstown Motors (RIDE), which in early May warned that it may go bankrupt, has not given an earnings date.

Rivian Earnings, RIVN Stock

Estimates: Analysts expect Rivian to lose $1.62 per share, widening from a $1.42 loss a year ago. Revenue is seen surging 599% to $664 million.

Results: Rivian narrowed losses to $1.25 a share on revenue of $661 million.

The startup had $11.8 billion in cash and cash equivalents at the end of Q1, down from $12.1 billion at the end of 2022.

Rivian, backed by Amazon (AMZN) and Ford (F), reiterated Tuesday that it is on track to make 50,000 vehicles in 2023.

"We continue to believe the supply chain will continue to be the main limiting factor" on production, Rivian said in an earnings release. New engineering design changes set to take effect in the second half of 2023 will to help mitigate supply constraints, it added.

In Q1, Rivian produced 9,395 vehicles but delivered 7,946.

The startup is looking to end a deal requiring it to make electric vans exclusively for Amazon. Rivian makes an electric truck and SUV for consumers, apart from an electric van for the e-commerce giant.

Shares of Rivian jumped 6.2% in late Tuesday trading. They ended the regular session were unchanged. RIVN stock rose 3.4% to 13.87 Monday, testing the 50-day average.

Rivian stock collapsed in the past year, due both to market conditions and execution hiccups.

Lucid Earnings, LCID Stock

Estimates: Analysts polled by FactSet expected Lucid to widen losses to 39 cents per share from five cents a year ago. Revenue was seen leaping 254% to $204.4 million.

Results: Lucid lost 43 cents a share on revenue of roughly $149 million, up 159% vs. a year earlier, but far below expectations. Sales were well below Q3 and Q4 levels.

The startup said late Monday that it ended the quarter with about $3.4 billion in cash and cash equivalents, with total liquidity of approximately $4.1 billion. That should be sufficient to fund the company at least into Q2 2024, said Lucid CFO Sherry House in an earnings release.

The luxury EV maker built 2,314 vehicles and delivered 1,406 vehicles during the quarter. It make just 7,180 of its Air electric sedans in 2022 amid the chip shortage and other production challenges.

Lucid now expects to produce "more than 10,000" EVs this year vs. prior guidance for 10,000-14,000 EVs. Reservations also have fallen recently, a sign of flagging demand.

Shares of Lucid tumbled 5.6% on the stock market today. They dipped 0.3% at 7.71 Monday, just below a falling 50-day moving average. LCID stock remains well below the 200-day line after cratering in the past year.

Fisker Earnings, FSR Stock

Estimates: Analysts expect Fisker to narrow losses to 31 cents per share from 41 cents a year ago. Revenue is seen reaching $5.3 million, up from roughly 300,000 the prior quarter.

Results: Fisker lost 38 cents a share on revenue of about $198,000.

Fisker had $652 million in cash remaining as of May 31, down from $736.5 million at the end of 2022.

The startup on Tuesday announced it's cutting production guidance for the full year. Fisker now expects to build 32,000-36,000 Ocean SUVs in 2023, down from more than 42,000 EVs earlier. It began delivering its Ocean SUV in Europe May 5 and said Tuesday that it expects to begin U.S. deliveries before the end of May.

Shares of Fisker plunged 7.4% Tuesday. FSR stock popped 6.4% to 6.62 Monday.

Nikola Earnings, NKLA Stock

Estimates: Analysts expect Nikola to lose 26 cents per share, swelling from a 21-cent loss a year ago. Revenue is seen reaching vaulting 583% to $12.9 million.

Results: Nikola lost 26 cents per share on revenue of $11.1 million.

The semi-truck maker had $121.1 million in cash remaining at the end of March, down from $233.4 million at the end of 2022.

Nikola said Tuesday that it's refocusing the company on North America, while exiting a European joint venture. It also expects to focus on fuel-cell trucks, though it will continue to make all-electric or battery-electric trucks.

The startup produced 63 electric trucks and delivered 31 during the quarter. It expects it to deliver 250-350 all-electric trucks and 125-150 fuel-cell trucks in 2023.

The upcoming fuel-cell version of its heavy truck is supposed to begin production in the second half of 2023. The startup built 258 trucks in 2022.

Shares of Nikola dived 13% Tuesday. NKLA stock lost 0.6% at 98 cents Monday, below a sharply falling 50-day average.

EV Startups Burning Cash

During the startups' earnings reports, outlook will be key. Investors are placing heightened emphasis on cash burn and production targets, amid recession fears and the Lordstown warning.

Even Tesla (TSLA) recently gave a cautious production outlook. Its price cuts earlier this year set off an EV price war, while adding to pressure on the startups.

Going forward, traditional auto giants such as General Motors (GM)  and Ford Motor (F) are set to significantly expand their EV output.

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